It’s Wednesday, November 7th, 2018…but before we begin, here’s a headline which is pure Jersey:

Sleazy Bob Menendez Wins Re-Election; Juror From Corruption Trial At Election Night Party

 

In other words, the entire state’s Dimocratic contingent…

If you’re a New Jersey Dimocrat, corruption guarantees you office for life!

Now, here’s The Gouge!

Since it looks like the Dims will take the House and the GOP hold onto the Senate, and thus we won’t be staying up for the final returns, we’ll lead off the first edition of our 63rd year with two forecasts of how the chips would ultimately fall.  First, writing at NRO, it’s Henry Olsen’s very educated estimate…

Tomorrow the RINOs Will Take Their Revenge

 

“Conservatives love animals, but there is one species they have long wanted to make extinct: the RINO. Not the horned African rhino, mind you, but rather the hoity-toity political RINO — Republicans in Name Only. Movement types have long been enraged by RINOs’ cool attitude toward tax cutting and social conservatism and their willingness to cooperate with, and occasionally vote for, Democrats. Hunting RINO officeholders during primary season has been the Club for Growth’s primary mission for years, and together with activist muscle, the group has successfully pushed the party to the right.

It turns out, however, that poaching RINO legislators is not enough to drive RINOs to extinction. Conservatives have long thought that RINOs’ native environment was the lobby room and the fundraising circuit — that they drew their sustenance from the insiders, not the folks back home. But it turns out that the RINOs were living off the land the whole time, the McMansion-land of upper-income suburbia. Millions of voters there were in fact RINOs too, and picking off their representatives did not do a thing to change their minds about the issues. They like “go slow” Republicanism and do not believe that things in America are bad enough on any level to warrant radical, significant change.

“…RINO voters have long preferred candidates such as Bob Dole, the two George Bushes, John McCain, and Mitt Romney. So long as folks like these led the party, RINOs were happy to keep the “R” in their names even as they increasingly battled the GOP’s more conservative elements. But Trump changed all that.

Trump’s message was that America was a sinking ship, one that needed a radical change of course, and fast. Add his volatile and voluble personality to the mix and you can see why RINOs did not want to take a cruise on the SS GOP with Trump as its captain. But Trump won despite their defection.

Tuesday, however, is going to be the RINOs’ revenge. Romney-loving RINOs are coming out of their preserves with fire in their hearts and a gleam in their eyes. They are decked out in hunting gear of their own, and their prey is the Trump-backing, change-seeking GOP. They might not be able to win primaries anymore, but in league with their new friends, the Democrats, they are eager to take down some big game of their own. And they will…”

Senate Breakdown

 52 Republicans, 48 Democrats (including two independents who caucus with the Democrats).

 States switching to the Democrats: NV, AZ.

 States switching to the Republicans: ND, MO, IN.

House Breakdown

 209 Republicans, 226 Democrats. This is a gain of 32 seats for the Democrats; a plausible range is that they will gain 25 to 40. Anywhere in that range, Republicans will lose control of the chamber.

 Sixteen seats are certain to switch to the Democrats: CA-49, AZ-2, CO-6, KS-3, MN-2, MN-3, IA-1, IL-6, MI-11, FL-27, VA-10, PA-5, PA-6, PA-7, NJ-2, NJ-11.

 Seven more are likely to switch to the Democrats: WA-8, CA-10, CA-45, PA-17, NJ-7, NY-19, TX-32.

 Twenty-six more are potential Democratic pickups: CA-25, CA-39, CA-48, UT-4, TX-7, KS-2, IA-3, IL-13, IL-14, MI-8, OH-12, GA-6, GA-7, FL-15, FL-26, NC-9, NC-13, VA-2, VA-5, VA-7, PA-1, NJ-3, NY-11, NY-22, ME-2, AK-AL.

 One seat is certain to switch to the Republicans: MN-8.

 Two more are potential Republican pickups: MN-1, NV-3.

Governors Breakdown

 25 Republicans, 25 Democrats. This is a gain of nine governorships for the Democrats.

 States switching to the Democrats: FL, OH, NV, MI, NM, ME, IL, WI, IA.

 State switching to the Republicans (from an independent): AK.

Then there’s this from the Morning Jolt, as Jim Geraghty offers a second opinion:

The Big Election Day Preview

 

“Yesterday we looked at the battle for control of the U.S. House of Representatives, district by district. Today, we’ll look at the big Senate and gubernatorial races, starting in the Northeast, and work our way down…

This adds up to Republicans gaining two seats, and enjoying a 53-47 majority starting next year. The GOP keeps Texas, Arizona, and Tennessee; the Democrats keep New Jersey, Wisconsin, Florida, Ohio, Pennsylvania, Michigan, and Montana. The GOP flips North Dakota, Missouri, and Indiana; Democrats flip Nevada. The governor’s races are a mess for Republicans, but we expected that.

Given a number of races may be decided by razor-thin margins, we may not know the final tally for days or even weeks.  But from what we’ve read and seen thus far, and particularly in view of historical mid-term trends, the Blue Wave may more like a ripple.  Either way, we look forward to comparing the actual results with our prognosticators predictions.

Besides, having Nancy the Red, Adam Schiff and Mad Maxine…

…front and center 24/7 running the House for the next two years may be the gift that keeps on giving, particularly with continued GOP control of the Senate and Darth Bader growing older by the minute.  So…  

…and stay tuned.  The show is just getting started!

Moving on, courtesy of American Greatness, the superlative Victor Davis Hanson details…

CNN’s Existential War With Trump

 

“It may be unwise or monotonous for President Trump to harp on CNN as a purveyor of “fake news.” And the constant refrain “enemy of the people” should not be used of a media outlet, even one as prejudicial as CNN. (Even if they are?!?)

Yet Trump’s obsessions with CNN are largely reactive, not preemptive.

After just 100 days in office, before his own agendas could even be enacted, the liberal Shorenstein Center at Harvard reported that 93 percent of CNN’s coverage of the Trump Administration was already negative. Just one in every 13 CNN stories proved positive. That radically asymmetrical pattern (shared by NBC/MSNBC) had never been seen before in the history of comparable media analytics. No one at CNN sought to explain the imbalance, leaving the impression that the news organization had more or less joined the progressive opposition.

In his serial pushbacks against CNN, if Trump has perhaps surpassed the invective of Barack Obama’s own periodic dismissals of Fox News, he has clearly not ordered his Justice Department to monitor the communications of any CNN reporter, in the manner of Eric Holder’s surveillance of Fox News journalist James Rosen. Associated Press journalists are not being monitored by the administration as they were during the Obama years. That difference is oddly never cited by CNN reporters who are wont to decry their own treatment by the administration, but who were not particularly vocal when their professional colleagues were once placed under electronic surveillance.

The shoddiness in reporting about Trump and the occasional flat-out inaccurate new stories reflect a toxic network culture in which partisanship is now standard and apparently to be expected. A certain furor over Trump often erupts in repeated, obscene anti-Trump and unprofessional outbursts of CNN journalists, contributors, and anchors—whether Anderson Cooper trashing a pro-Trump panelist by profanely retorting, “If he took a dump on his desk, you would defend it!” or CNN religious scholar Reza Aslan referring to Trump as “this piece of sh-t,” (Can you imagine anyone in the Fourth Estate making a similar reference to that Socialist piece of sh*t Obama?!?) or perhaps the late CNN host Anthony Bourdain joking in an interview about poisoning Trump or CNN New Year’s Eve host Kathy Griffin’s infamous photo-pose holding a facsimile of Trump’s severed head.

After a while, the pattern becomes undeniable. We saw such biased activism during the Ferguson drama when the entire newsroom of CNN panelists (on the supposedly straight news “CNN Newsroom”) in December 2014 adopted an on-air “hands up, don’t shoot” photo-op pose—an emulation of the false narrative surrounding the shooting death of Michael Brown that was proven fantastical by grand jury testimonies and an investigation by Eric Holder’s Justice Department.

Apparently, CNN has created a landscape in which not only are journalists likely to relax professional standards when it comes to reporting on Trump, but there is a sloppy environment of crude disparagement of the candidate and later president, and a general indifference to journalistic ethics…”

Hmm…members of the constitutionally-protected Press grossly abusing their position to pursue purely political purposes.  With all due respect to VDH (which is almost inestimable), they sure sound like enemies of the People to us!

Which brings us to The Lighter Side:

Then there’s this cross between News of the Bizarre and the Science Section.

Rat lungworm’ explained: What to know about the parasitic roundworm

 

If you’re considering eating raw or undercooked snails, slugs or centipedes — you may want to think again. Some of these delicacies may carry “rat lungworm,” a parasite that can infect critters through rodent feces…”

Snails, slugs and centipedes: part of a nutritious and balanced meal.  We’ll stick to medium rare beef, thank you.  Consider this yet another reason to rinse lettuce and other produce well…along with never allowing your buddies to talk you into doing something stupid…

Rugby player who swallowed garden slug as dare has died, 8 years after health nightmare began

 

…on a dare.

Finally, we’ll call it a day with The Wonderful World of Medicine, and this just in from the Sunshine State:

Surgeon removes woman’s kidney during back surgery after mistaking it for cancerous tumor

 

A Florida surgeon mistook a woman’s healthy kidney for a cancerous tumor — and inexplicably removed it during a routine back surgery, according to a report. Maureen Pacheco, then 51, checked into Wellington Regional Medical Center back in April 2016 to get the bones in her lower back fused in the wake of a car accident, The Palm Beach Post reported.

During the operation, Dr. Ramon Vazquez spotted the organ — which he believed to be a tumor, declared an emergency and removed it, according to a lawsuit obtained by the paper that was settled in September. Pacheco never had a say in the matter, according to the lawsuit. And Vazquez wasn’t even the one performing the back surgery. His job was to cut her open so surgeons could perform the operation…”

A healthy kidney versus a cancerous tumor requiring immediate removal without the benefit of anything other than Dr. Vazquez’s keen eye and oncological intuition.  From where we sit, Ramon’s got a brilliant future with either San Salvador General Hospital or the British National Health Service.

Magoo



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